Mar 08

Calentamiento, ¿o enfriamiento global?

Mientras leía que “in five years, [the measurements] have failed to detect any global warming. They are not reinforcing the scientific orthodoxy of the day, namely that man is causing the planet to warm dangerously. They are not proving the predetermined conclusions of their human masters. Therefore they, and not their masters’ hypotheses, must be wrong. In fact, there has been a very slight cooling, according to a U.S. National Public Radio (NPR) interview with Josh Willis at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory”, me acordé de Al Gore y de los apocalípticos profetas del calentamiento global. Entonces, otra cosa que leí hoy, de Alfred N. Whitehead, me vino a la cabeza: “The world`s experience professed seers has on the whole been very unfortunate. In the main, they are shady lot with a bad reputation. Even if we put aside those with some tinge of insincerity, there still remain the presumptuos, ignorant, incompetent, unbalanced band of false prophets who deceive people. On the whole, the odds are so heavily againt any particular prophet that, apart from some method of testing, perhaps it is safer to stone them, in some merciful way. The Greeks invented logic in the broadest sense of that term -the logic of discovery. The Greek logic as finally perfected by the experience of centuries provides a set of criteria to which the content of a belief should be subjected. These are:

1. Conformity to intuitive experience
2. Clarity of the propositioinal content
3. Internal logical consistency
4. External logical consistency
5. Status of a logical scheme with:
a. Widespread conformity to experience
b. No discordance with experience
c. Coherence among its categoreal notions
d. Methodological consecquences”